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Election Data Analysis Election Forensics Election Integrity programming technical

Preliminary Results of 2023-07-01 VA RVL duplicate detections

Below are the preliminary results from performing exact (string distance of 0) duplicate record checks on the 2023-07-01 VA Registered Voter List information. Note that these are the numbers of ordered matches discovered, not the number of individual unique registrants. Each count represents two different registration records, with unique voter IDs, that match the given criteria. Match pairs are directional, in that a pair (A,B) is counted separately from the pair (B, A). Matches are grouped into this table according to the LOCALITY_NAME of the first element of the identified pair. Some pairs can have different locality information, except for in the strictest case (3rd column), so a match might be counted in one locality while its mirror is counted in the other.

The first data column of the table below is equivalent to the criteria used by the MOU between the VA Department of Elections (ELECT) and the Department of Motor Vehicles (DMV), as discussed and documented in a previous post. There were 5,290 matches for this criteria across the state.

The second data column below is based on a match of the registrants Full Name and Day+Month+Year of birth information, but NOT the registrants listed address information. There were 1,200 matches for this criteria across the state.

The third data column is the strictest match criteria and includes the Gender and Address of the registrant. There were 208 matches for this criteria across the state.

I am only considering Active registrations in the table below. I previously computed similar statistics using the previous purchased 2022-11-23 RVL, I have not yet done a comparison of the two datasets, but will do so once I complete the string distance processing on this latest set.

Row LabelsSum of Exact Same First+Last+DobSum of Exact Same First+Middle+Last+Sfx+DOBSum of Exact Same First+Middle+Last+Sfx+Gender+Address+DOB
ACCOMACK COUNTY2470
ALBEMARLE COUNTY1165722
ALEXANDRIA CITY60130
ALLEGHANY COUNTY1240
AMELIA COUNTY500
AMHERST COUNTY3282
APPOMATTOX COUNTY1500
ARLINGTON COUNTY152620
AUGUSTA COUNTY6962
BATH COUNTY200
BEDFORD COUNTY67130
BLAND COUNTY500
BOTETOURT COUNTY2420
BRISTOL CITY800
BRUNSWICK COUNTY1710
BUCHANAN COUNTY1150
BUCKINGHAM COUNTY700
BUENA VISTA CITY300
CAMPBELL COUNTY39134
CAROLINE COUNTY1800
CARROLL COUNTY1400
CHARLES CITY COUNTY200
CHARLOTTE COUNTY1110
CHARLOTTESVILLE CITY2580
CHESAPEAKE CITY136138
CHESTERFIELD COUNTY38012734
CLARKE COUNTY1100
COLONIAL HEIGHTS CITY1240
COVINGTON CITY500
CRAIG COUNTY300
CULPEPER COUNTY2620
CUMBERLAND COUNTY1352
DANVILLE CITY2140
DICKENSON COUNTY600
DINWIDDIE COUNTY2120
EMPORIA CITY930
ESSEX COUNTY910
FAIRFAX CITY1220
FAIRFAX COUNTY55018814
FALLS CHURCH CITY1280
FAUQUIER COUNTY4120
FLOYD COUNTY900
FLUVANNA COUNTY2330
FRANKLIN CITY842
FRANKLIN COUNTY2022
FREDERICK COUNTY5494
FREDERICKSBURG CITY1420
GALAX CITY300
GILES COUNTY300
GLOUCESTER COUNTY2420
GOOCHLAND COUNTY2320
GRAYSON COUNTY1310
GREENE COUNTY1610
GREENSVILLE COUNTY700
HALIFAX COUNTY2364
HAMPTON CITY131378
HANOVER COUNTY73100
HARRISONBURG CITY1882
HENRICO COUNTY2457534
HENRY COUNTY2944
HIGHLAND COUNTY200
HOPEWELL CITY3374
ISLE OF WIGHT COUNTY2710
JAMES CITY COUNTY3110
KING AND QUEEN COUNTY400
KING GEORGE COUNTY1700
KING WILLIAM COUNTY1740
LANCASTER COUNTY830
LEE COUNTY38142
LEXINGTON CITY830
LOUDOUN COUNTY158316
LOUISA COUNTY2610
LUNENBURG COUNTY1350
LYNCHBURG CITY75294
MADISON COUNTY1020
MANASSAS CITY2332
MANASSAS PARK CITY410
MARTINSVILLE CITY900
MATHEWS COUNTY522
MECKLENBURG COUNTY2530
MIDDLESEX COUNTY600
MONTGOMERY COUNTY4750
NELSON COUNTY1554
NEW KENT COUNTY1810
NEWPORT NEWS CITY88120
NORFOLK CITY111150
NORTHAMPTON COUNTY832
NORTHUMBERLAND COUNTY810
NOTTOWAY COUNTY1084
ORANGE COUNTY2940
PAGE COUNTY2330
PATRICK COUNTY1010
PETERSBURG CITY3160
PITTSYLVANIA COUNTY6292
POQUOSON CITY800
PORTSMOUTH CITY80100
POWHATAN COUNTY2660
PRINCE EDWARD COUNTY2050
PRINCE GEORGE COUNTY2452
PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY178410
PULASKI COUNTY1620
RADFORD CITY810
RAPPAHANNOCK COUNTY610
RICHMOND CITY159482
RICHMOND COUNTY563810
ROANOKE CITY4000
ROANOKE COUNTY5770
ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY1720
ROCKINGHAM COUNTY3470
RUSSELL COUNTY1900
SALEM CITY1110
SCOTT COUNTY1740
SHENANDOAH COUNTY2240
SMYTH COUNTY1700
SOUTHAMPTON COUNTY1860
SPOTSYLVANIA COUNTY86224
STAFFORD COUNTY92212
STAUNTON CITY1500
SUFFOLK CITY5152
SURRY COUNTY820
SUSSEX COUNTY1122
TAZEWELL COUNTY2100
VIRGINIA BEACH CITY244252
WARREN COUNTY2510
WASHINGTON COUNTY3552
WAYNESBORO CITY1300
WESTMORELAND COUNTY1920
WILLIAMSBURG CITY1580
WINCHESTER CITY1120
WISE COUNTY2450
WYTHE COUNTY2120
YORK COUNTY2600
Grand Total52901200208

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